August 26, 2021: Two lines that should jump off the pages of the recent CDC Vaccine Efficacy Report are:
"The effectiveness of Covid-19 vaccines among front-line workers declined to 66% after the delta variant became dominant, compared with 91% before it arose."
"Researchers reported 95% confidence that the efficacy was between 26% and 84% in that period."
There is something very troubling about the already unacceptably low and fading rate of vaccine efficacy in the face of the Delta variant (not to mention other variants certain to follow). Moreover, one can barely take comfort in the assertion of confidence in vaccine efficacy that is assumed to range somewhere between 26% and 84%.
Keep in mind, these are data points taken directly from the CDC Vaccine Efficacy Report - they are anything but reassuring.
By: Extremely American Colin Wright
Vaccine Efficacy Diminished as Delta Arose, CDC Report Shows
By: John Tozzi of Bloomberg
(Bloomberg) -- The effectiveness of Covid-19 vaccines among front-line workers declined to 66% after the delta variant became dominant, compared with 91% before it arose, according to a report from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
The vaccines are still protective, the CDC said, and the finding must be interpreted with caution, as vaccine effectiveness might wane over time and the estimates of efficacy were imprecise.
“Although these interim findings suggest a moderate reduction in the effectiveness of Covid-19 vaccines in preventing infection, the sustained two-thirds reduction in infection risk underscores the continued importance and benefits of Covid-19 vaccination,” researchers wrote in the agency’s Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report.
The findings echo earlier evidence from Israel and the U.K. suggesting Covid vaccines lost some potency in preventing infections over time as the delta variant spread. These and other research results will be under scrutiny next week as CDC advisers weigh the Biden administration’s plan to administer booster doses to most vaccine recipients in the U.S.
The booster campaign, still awaiting the sign-off of the Food and Drug Administration, is set to begin Sept. 20. CDC’s Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices will consider the extra-dose plan during a two-day meeting that starts Monday.
The finding of diminished effectiveness when delta was the dominant virus strain comes with an important caveat: The range of that estimate is highly uncertain. Researchers reported 95% confidence that the efficacy was between 26% and 84% in that period.
The observational study tracked more than 4,000 health-care workers, first responders, and other front-line personnel in eight U.S. locations across six states from December 2020 to August 2021. They were tested weekly for Covid infection, and about 83% were vaccinated.
About two-thirds of those vaccinated had received the Pfizer Inc.-BioNTech SE shot, 2% received Johnson & Johnson’s, and the rest received the Moderna Inc. vaccine.
Overall, vaccinations were estimated to be 80% effective in preventing infection during the study period.